ECB October 2025 rate decision

The European Central Bank has kept interest rates on hold, as expected, at its latest meeting on Thursday.

The central bank held its key deposit facility rate at 2% for the third consecutive time, having last cut rates in June. The trim, which coincided with euro zone inflation hitting the ECB’s target rate of 2%, was part of a rate-cutting cycle that has brought rates down from last year’s record high of 4%.

The ECB said in a statement Thursday that “inflation remains close to the 2% medium-term target and the Governing Council’s assessment of the inflation outlook is broadly unchanged.”

“The economy has continued to grow despite the challenging global environment. The robust labour market, solid private sector balance sheets and the Governing Council’s past interest rate cuts remain important sources of resilience,” it said.

It cautioned, however, that “the outlook is still uncertain, owing particularly to ongoing global trade disputes and geopolitical tensions.”

While the euro zone inflation rate inched up to 2.2% in September, up from 2% the previous month, the rise was attributed to an increase in services prices and economists had said the central bank was likely to remain cautious about meddling with rates right now.

Expectations that the ECB would keep rates on hold were reinforced earlier Thursday when preliminary euro zone growth data showed the economy had grown 0.2% in the third quarter, from the previous three month period. The figure was above expectations and showed that economic activity remained resilient, despite prevailing uncertainty over business activity following U.S. trade tariffs.

The central bank has repeatedly said it will take a meeting-by-meeting and data dependent approach to rate setting, but top ECB board members told CNBC this month that the easing cycle is close to, or at its end.

Martin Kocher, European Central Bank Governing Council member and governor at Austrian National Bank, said that as long as nothing “drastic” happens, Europe is “OK.”

“At the moment, I think we’re in a good place. So, there’s no reason to change anything, as long as there are no changes that force us to do something, Kocher said, speaking to CNBC’s Karen Tso at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Washington.

“And if you take the larger picture, yes, the easing cycle is close to an end or at its end, but there’s no reason to pre-commit at that stage.”

In a separate interview, ECB Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau said he recommended “agile pragmatism” when it comes to the path for interest rates, adding: “We are in a good position … but a good position is not a fixed position.”

A majority of economists polled in mid-October by Reuters said the ECB would hold its deposit rate this year, while 45 of 79 economists polled (57%) saw no change by the end of 2026.

— CNBC’s Tasmin Lockwood and Leonie Kidd contributed reporting to this story.